{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\be947625\Dropbox\Birds of a Feather\FPA\R&R Version\Replication Materials\Birds of a Feather - Nuclear Cooperation Agreements Analysis - Log File.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}11 Jan 2021, 10:03:28

{com}. do "C:\Users\be947625\AppData\Local\Temp\STD00000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. 
. *************************************************
. *Do File for "Birds of a Feather"                               *
. *Foreign Policy Analysis                                                *
. *Last Revised: January 2021                                             *
. *By Bryan R. Early, University at Albany,SUNY   *
. *Contact: bearly@albany.edu                                             *
. *************************************************
. 
.  
. *There are two distinct data sets and analyses employed in "Birds of a Feather." This do file and dataset is for the analysis on nuclear cooperation agreements, which corresponds to Table 4 in the main text.
. *use "Birds of a Feather - Nuclear Cooperation Agreements Analysis - Data Set.dta" 
. 
. **Table 4: Analysis of the Determinants of Civil Nuclear Cooperation**
. 
. eststo M1: logit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2, robust

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9646.5596}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9492.3841}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8185.3202}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -8114.247}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1518}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1135}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1135}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   145,827
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-8101.1135{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1602

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4001521{col 26}{space 2} .0857975{col 37}{space 1}   -4.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5683121{col 67}{space 3}-.2319922
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8870439{col 26}{space 2} .1324733{col 37}{space 1}   -6.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.146687{col 67}{space 3} -.627401
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9588293{col 26}{space 2} .2253894{col 37}{space 1}   -4.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.400584{col 67}{space 3}-.5170742
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122533{col 26}{space 2} .0676637{col 37}{space 1}   16.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9899149{col 67}{space 3} 1.255152
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.002806{col 26}{space 2} .5392415{col 37}{space 1}   -1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}  -2.0597{col 67}{space 3} .0540881
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.185886{col 26}{space 2}  .094272{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4}-.3706558{col 67}{space 3}-.0011162
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .924594{col 26}{space 2} .0700365{col 37}{space 1}   13.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .787325{col 67}{space 3} 1.061863
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8014118{col 26}{space 2} .1329855{col 37}{space 1}    6.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5407649{col 67}{space 3} 1.062059
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.78e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.04e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.19e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.38e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.01e-09{col 26}{space 2} 4.46e-11{col 37}{space 1}   22.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.22e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.10e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001756{col 26}{space 2} .0000134{col 37}{space 1}  -13.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0002018{col 67}{space 3}-.0001494
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000127{col 26}{space 2} 8.84e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.151{col 54}{space 4}  -.00003{col 67}{space 3} 4.64e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.127272{col 26}{space 2} .7382721{col 37}{space 1}    5.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.680285{col 67}{space 3} 5.574259
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1641662{col 26}{space 2}  .013966{col 37}{space 1}  -11.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.191539{col 67}{space 3}-.1367933
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0061963{col 26}{space 2} .0008349{col 37}{space 1}    7.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0045599{col 67}{space 3} .0078327
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000806{col 26}{space 2} .0000132{col 37}{space 1}   -6.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001066{col 67}{space 3}-.0000546
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.452123{col 26}{space 2} .0717996{col 37}{space 1}  -48.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.592848{col 67}{space 3}-3.311399
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M2: relogit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2
{txt}(12,312 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   145827

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3973145{col 26}{space 2} .0857875{col 37}{space 1}   -4.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5654548{col 67}{space 3}-.2291741
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8831082{col 26}{space 2} .1324579{col 37}{space 1}   -6.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.142721{col 67}{space 3}-.6234956
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9459723{col 26}{space 2} .2253631{col 37}{space 1}   -4.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.387676{col 67}{space 3}-.5042687
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122807{col 26}{space 2} .0676558{col 37}{space 1}   16.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9902044{col 67}{space 3}  1.25541
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8819335{col 26}{space 2} .5391786{col 37}{space 1}   -1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.102{col 54}{space 4}-1.938704{col 67}{space 3} .1748372
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1838137{col 26}{space 2}  .094261{col 37}{space 1}   -1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-.3685619{col 67}{space 3} .0009346
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9250045{col 26}{space 2} .0700283{col 37}{space 1}   13.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7877516{col 67}{space 3} 1.062257
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8060464{col 26}{space 2}   .13297{col 37}{space 1}    6.06{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5454299{col 67}{space 3} 1.066663
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.78e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.04e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.19e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.38e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.01e-09{col 26}{space 2} 4.46e-11{col 37}{space 1}   22.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.21e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.10e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001754{col 26}{space 2} .0000134{col 37}{space 1}  -13.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0002016{col 67}{space 3}-.0001491
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000125{col 26}{space 2} 8.84e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.42{col 46}{space 3}0.156{col 54}{space 4}-.0000299{col 67}{space 3} 4.79e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.139326{col 26}{space 2}  .738186{col 37}{space 1}    5.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.692508{col 67}{space 3} 5.586144
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1638492{col 26}{space 2} .0139644{col 37}{space 1}  -11.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1912188{col 67}{space 3}-.1364795
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .006172{col 26}{space 2} .0008348{col 37}{space 1}    7.39{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0045357{col 67}{space 3} .0078082
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000801{col 26}{space 2} .0000132{col 37}{space 1}   -6.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001061{col 67}{space 3}-.0000541
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.451739{col 26}{space 2} .0717913{col 37}{space 1}  -48.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.592447{col 67}{space 3}-3.311031
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M3: firthlogit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9529.9311}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9529.9311}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9529.9311}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9217.9511}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-8525.6708}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res: -8053.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-7984.6978}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-7982.4774}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-7982.4653}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-7982.4653}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   145,827
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-7982.4653{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3973177{col 26}{space 2} .0869271{col 37}{space 1}   -4.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5676916{col 67}{space 3}-.2269437
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8831015{col 26}{space 2} .1180167{col 37}{space 1}   -7.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -1.11441{col 67}{space 3} -.651793
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9460799{col 26}{space 2} .1997498{col 37}{space 1}   -4.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.337582{col 67}{space 3}-.5545774
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122804{col 26}{space 2} .0639369{col 37}{space 1}   17.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9974901{col 67}{space 3} 1.248118
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8888789{col 26}{space 2} .4881445{col 37}{space 1}   -1.82{col 46}{space 3}0.069{col 54}{space 4}-1.845625{col 67}{space 3} .0678669
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1838207{col 26}{space 2} .0867728{col 37}{space 1}   -2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4}-.3538922{col 67}{space 3}-.0137491
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9250049{col 26}{space 2}  .063927{col 37}{space 1}   14.47{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7997103{col 67}{space 3}   1.0503
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8060173{col 26}{space 2} .1254664{col 37}{space 1}    6.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5601077{col 67}{space 3} 1.051927
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.78e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.61e-11{col 37}{space 1}   13.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.08e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.49e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.01e-09{col 26}{space 2} 4.56e-11{col 37}{space 1}   22.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.18e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.10e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001754{col 26}{space 2} .0000114{col 37}{space 1}  -15.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001976{col 67}{space 3}-.0001531
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000125{col 26}{space 2} 7.75e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.62{col 46}{space 3}0.106{col 54}{space 4}-.0000277{col 67}{space 3} 2.65e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.139267{col 26}{space 2} .7748597{col 37}{space 1}    5.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  2.62057{col 67}{space 3} 5.657964
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1638496{col 26}{space 2} .0134257{col 37}{space 1}  -12.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1901634{col 67}{space 3}-.1375358
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .006172{col 26}{space 2} .0008185{col 37}{space 1}    7.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0045678{col 67}{space 3} .0077763
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000801{col 26}{space 2} .0000131{col 37}{space 1}   -6.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001058{col 67}{space 3}-.0000544
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.451744{col 26}{space 2}  .071789{col 37}{space 1}  -48.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.592448{col 67}{space 3} -3.31104
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M1 M2 M3,  se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)   
{txt}                 NCA_lead        NCA_lead        NCA_lead   
{txt}{hline 60}
{res}main                                                        {txt}
{txt}Sanct1      {res}       -0.400***       -0.397***       -0.397***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct2      {res}       -0.887***       -0.883***       -0.883***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct3      {res}       -0.959***       -0.946***       -0.946***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.20{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}dpact       {res}        1.123***        1.123***        1.123***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}cwongo      {res}       -1.003*         -0.882          -0.889*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}eeriv       {res}       -0.186**        -0.184*         -0.184** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}sprival     {res}        0.925***        0.925***        0.925***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}pursueNNWS  {res}        0.801***        0.806***        0.806***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp1        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp2        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}distance    {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}expab       {res}       -0.000          -0.000          -0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}exp_pressure{res}        4.127***        4.139***        4.139***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.77{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs    {res}       -0.164***       -0.164***       -0.164***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_sq {res}        0.006***        0.006***        0.006***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_cb {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -3.452***       -3.452***       -3.452***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}N           {res}       145827          145827          145827   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.160                                   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. logit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2, robust 

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9646.5596}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9492.3841}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8185.3202}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -8114.247}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1518}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1135}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1135}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   145,827
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-8101.1135{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1602

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4001521{col 26}{space 2} .0857975{col 37}{space 1}   -4.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5683121{col 67}{space 3}-.2319922
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8870439{col 26}{space 2} .1324733{col 37}{space 1}   -6.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.146687{col 67}{space 3} -.627401
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9588293{col 26}{space 2} .2253894{col 37}{space 1}   -4.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.400584{col 67}{space 3}-.5170742
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122533{col 26}{space 2} .0676637{col 37}{space 1}   16.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9899149{col 67}{space 3} 1.255152
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.002806{col 26}{space 2} .5392415{col 37}{space 1}   -1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}  -2.0597{col 67}{space 3} .0540881
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.185886{col 26}{space 2}  .094272{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4}-.3706558{col 67}{space 3}-.0011162
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .924594{col 26}{space 2} .0700365{col 37}{space 1}   13.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .787325{col 67}{space 3} 1.061863
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8014118{col 26}{space 2} .1329855{col 37}{space 1}    6.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5407649{col 67}{space 3} 1.062059
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.78e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.04e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.19e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.38e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.01e-09{col 26}{space 2} 4.46e-11{col 37}{space 1}   22.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.22e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.10e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001756{col 26}{space 2} .0000134{col 37}{space 1}  -13.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0002018{col 67}{space 3}-.0001494
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000127{col 26}{space 2} 8.84e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.151{col 54}{space 4}  -.00003{col 67}{space 3} 4.64e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.127272{col 26}{space 2} .7382721{col 37}{space 1}    5.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.680285{col 67}{space 3} 5.574259
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1641662{col 26}{space 2}  .013966{col 37}{space 1}  -11.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.191539{col 67}{space 3}-.1367933
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0061963{col 26}{space 2} .0008349{col 37}{space 1}    7.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0045599{col 67}{space 3} .0078327
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000806{col 26}{space 2} .0000132{col 37}{space 1}   -6.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001066{col 67}{space 3}-.0000546
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.452123{col 26}{space 2} .0717996{col 37}{space 1}  -48.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.592848{col 67}{space 3}-3.311399
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. test Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}[NCA_lead]Sanct1 = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 2)}{space 1} [NCA_lead]Sanct2 = 0{p_end}
{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 3)}{space 1} [NCA_lead]Sanct3 = 0{p_end}

{txt}{col 12}chi2(  3) ={res}   66.14
{txt}{col 10}Prob > chi2 =  {res}  0.0000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. eststo M4: logit                NCA_lead  Sanct0 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2, robust

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9646.5596}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9492.3841}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8185.3202}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -8114.247}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1518}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1135}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1135}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   145,827
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-8101.1135{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1602

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct0 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4001521{col 26}{space 2} .0857975{col 37}{space 1}    4.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2319922{col 67}{space 3} .5683121
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4868918{col 26}{space 2} .1493757{col 37}{space 1}   -3.26{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.7796627{col 67}{space 3}-.1941208
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5586771{col 26}{space 2}  .232296{col 37}{space 1}   -2.41{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4}-1.013969{col 67}{space 3}-.1033854
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122533{col 26}{space 2} .0676637{col 37}{space 1}   16.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9899149{col 67}{space 3} 1.255152
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.002806{col 26}{space 2} .5392415{col 37}{space 1}   -1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}  -2.0597{col 67}{space 3} .0540881
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.185886{col 26}{space 2}  .094272{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4}-.3706558{col 67}{space 3}-.0011162
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .924594{col 26}{space 2} .0700365{col 37}{space 1}   13.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .787325{col 67}{space 3} 1.061863
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8014118{col 26}{space 2} .1329855{col 37}{space 1}    6.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5407649{col 67}{space 3} 1.062059
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.78e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.04e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.19e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.38e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.01e-09{col 26}{space 2} 4.46e-11{col 37}{space 1}   22.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.22e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.10e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001756{col 26}{space 2} .0000134{col 37}{space 1}  -13.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0002018{col 67}{space 3}-.0001494
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000127{col 26}{space 2} 8.84e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.151{col 54}{space 4}  -.00003{col 67}{space 3} 4.64e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.127272{col 26}{space 2} .7382721{col 37}{space 1}    5.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.680285{col 67}{space 3} 5.574259
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1641662{col 26}{space 2}  .013966{col 37}{space 1}  -11.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.191539{col 67}{space 3}-.1367933
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0061963{col 26}{space 2} .0008349{col 37}{space 1}    7.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0045599{col 67}{space 3} .0078327
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000806{col 26}{space 2} .0000132{col 37}{space 1}   -6.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001066{col 67}{space 3}-.0000546
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.852276{col 26}{space 2} .1038162{col 37}{space 1}  -37.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.055752{col 67}{space 3}  -3.6488
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M5: relogit      NCA_lead  Sanct0 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2
{txt}(12,312 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   145827

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct0 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3973145{col 26}{space 2} .0857875{col 37}{space 1}    4.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2291741{col 67}{space 3} .5654548
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4857938{col 26}{space 2} .1493583{col 37}{space 1}   -3.25{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.7785306{col 67}{space 3}-.1930569
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5486578{col 26}{space 2} .2322689{col 37}{space 1}   -2.36{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4}-1.003896{col 67}{space 3}-.0934192
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122807{col 26}{space 2} .0676558{col 37}{space 1}   16.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9902044{col 67}{space 3}  1.25541
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8819335{col 26}{space 2} .5391786{col 37}{space 1}   -1.64{col 46}{space 3}0.102{col 54}{space 4}-1.938704{col 67}{space 3} .1748372
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1838137{col 26}{space 2}  .094261{col 37}{space 1}   -1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4}-.3685619{col 67}{space 3} .0009346
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9250045{col 26}{space 2} .0700283{col 37}{space 1}   13.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7877516{col 67}{space 3} 1.062257
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8060464{col 26}{space 2}   .13297{col 37}{space 1}    6.06{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5454299{col 67}{space 3} 1.066663
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.78e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.04e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.19e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.38e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.01e-09{col 26}{space 2} 4.46e-11{col 37}{space 1}   22.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.21e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.10e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001754{col 26}{space 2} .0000134{col 37}{space 1}  -13.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0002016{col 67}{space 3}-.0001491
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000125{col 26}{space 2} 8.84e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.42{col 46}{space 3}0.156{col 54}{space 4}-.0000299{col 67}{space 3} 4.79e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.139326{col 26}{space 2}  .738186{col 37}{space 1}    5.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.692508{col 67}{space 3} 5.586144
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1638492{col 26}{space 2} .0139644{col 37}{space 1}  -11.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1912188{col 67}{space 3}-.1364795
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .006172{col 26}{space 2} .0008348{col 37}{space 1}    7.39{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0045357{col 67}{space 3} .0078082
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000801{col 26}{space 2} .0000132{col 37}{space 1}   -6.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001061{col 67}{space 3}-.0000541
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.849054{col 26}{space 2} .1038041{col 37}{space 1}  -37.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.052506{col 67}{space 3}-3.645601
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M6: firthlogit   NCA_lead  Sanct0 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9529.9311}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9529.9311}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9529.9311}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9217.8292}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-8312.5976}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-8114.2234}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-8004.0527}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-7982.8189}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-7982.4659}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-7982.4653}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   145,827
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-7982.4653{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct0 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3973172{col 26}{space 2} .0869272{col 37}{space 1}    4.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .226943{col 67}{space 3} .5676914
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4857848{col 26}{space 2} .1381494{col 37}{space 1}   -3.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.7565527{col 67}{space 3}-.2150168
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.548768{col 26}{space 2} .2083613{col 37}{space 1}   -2.63{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}-.9571487{col 67}{space 3}-.1403873
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122804{col 26}{space 2} .0639369{col 37}{space 1}   17.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9974904{col 67}{space 3} 1.248118
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8888869{col 26}{space 2} .4881454{col 37}{space 1}   -1.82{col 46}{space 3}0.069{col 54}{space 4}-1.845634{col 67}{space 3} .0678604
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1838202{col 26}{space 2} .0867728{col 37}{space 1}   -2.12{col 46}{space 3}0.034{col 54}{space 4}-.3538918{col 67}{space 3}-.0137487
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9250052{col 26}{space 2}  .063927{col 37}{space 1}   14.47{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7997106{col 67}{space 3}   1.0503
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8060179{col 26}{space 2} .1254664{col 37}{space 1}    6.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5601082{col 67}{space 3} 1.051928
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.78e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.61e-11{col 37}{space 1}   13.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.08e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.49e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.01e-09{col 26}{space 2} 4.56e-11{col 37}{space 1}   22.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.18e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.10e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001754{col 26}{space 2} .0000114{col 37}{space 1}  -15.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001976{col 67}{space 3}-.0001531
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000125{col 26}{space 2} 7.75e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.62{col 46}{space 3}0.106{col 54}{space 4}-.0000277{col 67}{space 3} 2.65e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.139274{col 26}{space 2} .7748599{col 37}{space 1}    5.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.620576{col 67}{space 3} 5.657971
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1638485{col 26}{space 2} .0134266{col 37}{space 1}  -12.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1901642{col 67}{space 3}-.1375327
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .006172{col 26}{space 2} .0008186{col 37}{space 1}    7.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0045676{col 67}{space 3} .0077764
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000801{col 26}{space 2} .0000131{col 37}{space 1}   -6.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001058{col 67}{space 3}-.0000544
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.849064{col 26}{space 2} .1035811{col 37}{space 1}  -37.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.052079{col 67}{space 3}-3.646049
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M4 M5 M6,  se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)   
{txt}                 NCA_lead        NCA_lead        NCA_lead   
{txt}{hline 60}
{res}main                                                        {txt}
{txt}Sanct0      {res}        0.400***        0.397***        0.397***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct2      {res}       -0.487***       -0.486***       -0.486***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct3      {res}       -0.559**        -0.549**        -0.549***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.21{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}dpact       {res}        1.123***        1.123***        1.123***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}cwongo      {res}       -1.003*         -0.882          -0.889*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}eeriv       {res}       -0.186**        -0.184*         -0.184** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}sprival     {res}        0.925***        0.925***        0.925***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.07{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}pursueNNWS  {res}        0.801***        0.806***        0.806***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp1        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp2        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}distance    {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}expab       {res}       -0.000          -0.000          -0.000   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}exp_pressure{res}        4.127***        4.139***        4.139***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.74{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.77{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs    {res}       -0.164***       -0.164***       -0.164***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_sq {res}        0.006***        0.006***        0.006***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_cb {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -3.852***       -3.849***       -3.849***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}N           {res}       145827          145827          145827   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.160                                   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Appendix Table A7: Summary Statistics for the Civil Nuclear Cooperation Analyses’ Variables**
. summ NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 4}NCA_lead {c |}{res}    153,146    .0120147    .1089514          0          1
{txt}{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{res}    157,640    .1713144    .3767846          0          1
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{res}    157,640    .0809312    .2727303          0          1
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{res}    157,640    .0210289    .1434812          0          1
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{res}    157,640    .0534002    .2248308          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 6}cwongo {c |}{res}    153,460    .0037339    .0609914          0          1
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{res}    157,640    .0422355    .2011266          0          1
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{res}    157,640    .0986805    .2982336          0          1
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{res}    157,640     .027049    .1622267          0          1
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{res}    149,141    4.36e+08    6.54e+08     917896   4.84e+09
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{res}    148,538    7.96e+07    2.69e+08    57628.3   4.84e+09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{res}    157,640    4510.485    2635.778          0      12347
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{res}    146,178    225.5406      1385.1          0     112031
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{res}    149,141    .0233107    .0305843    .000084   .1556886
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{res}    153,146    17.80146    13.19692          0         51
{txt}
{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A8: Summary Statistics for the Civil Nuclear Cooperation Analyses’ Variables - Directed Dyads Never Sanctioned by U.S.**
. summ NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2 & EverSanct==0

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 4}NCA_lead {c |}{res}     49,380    .0156339    .1240554          0          1
{txt}{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{res}     51,224           0           0          0          0
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{res}     51,224           0           0          0          0
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{res}     51,224           0           0          0          0
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{res}     51,224    .0776394    .2676059          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 6}cwongo {c |}{res}     49,585     .000242    .0155549          0          1
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{res}     51,224    .0268819    .1617399          0          1
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{res}     51,224    .0446861    .2066158          0          1
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{res}     51,224    .0024793    .0497314          0          1
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{res}     47,850    4.84e+08    6.07e+08    8823612   3.29e+09
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{res}     47,532    6.75e+07    2.30e+08    57628.3   3.29e+09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{res}     51,224    4083.287    2649.007          0      12347
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{res}     45,946    402.5385    1999.815          0     112031
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{res}     47,850    .0372421    .0359344   .0001091   .1556886
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{res}     49,380      14.853    11.86223          0         51
{txt}
{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A9: Summary Statistics for the Civil Nuclear Cooperation Analyses’ Variables - Directed Dyads Sanctioned by the U.S.**
. 
. summ NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2 & EverSanct==1

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 4}NCA_lead {c |}{res}    103,766    .0102924    .1009285          0          1
{txt}{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{res}    106,416    .2537776    .4351739          0          1
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{res}    106,416     .119888     .324832          0          1
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{res}    106,416    .0311513    .1737274          0          1
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{res}    106,416    .0417324    .1999781          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 6}cwongo {c |}{res}    103,875    .0054007    .0732912          0          1
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{res}    106,416     .049626    .2171721          0          1
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{res}    106,416    .1246711    .3303472          0          1
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{res}    106,416    .0388757    .1932997          0          1
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{res}    101,291    4.14e+08    6.75e+08     917896   4.84e+09
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{res}    101,006    8.53e+07    2.86e+08    57628.3   4.84e+09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{res}    106,416     4716.12    2604.535          0      12192
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{res}    100,232    144.4053    971.4809          0      57632
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{res}    101,291    .0167295    .0251455    .000084   .1556886
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{res}    103,766    19.20458    13.56358          0         51
{txt}
{com}. 
. ** Appendix     Table A10: Correlation Matrix for the Civil Nuclear Cooperation Analyses’ Variables**
. corr NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2
{txt}(obs=145,827)

             {c |} NCA_lead   Sanct1   Sanct2   Sanct3    dpact   cwongo    eeriv  sprival pursue~S     gdp1     gdp2 distance    expab exp_pr~e
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 126}
    NCA_lead {c |}{res}   1.0000
      {txt}Sanct1 {c |}{res}  -0.0215   1.0000
      {txt}Sanct2 {c |}{res}  -0.0032  -0.1358   1.0000
      {txt}Sanct3 {c |}{res}  -0.0016  -0.0685  -0.0438   1.0000
       {txt}dpact {c |}{res}   0.1082  -0.0718  -0.0387  -0.0011   1.0000
      {txt}cwongo {c |}{res}  -0.0029   0.0270   0.0399   0.0129  -0.0102   1.0000
       {txt}eeriv {c |}{res}   0.0415  -0.0092   0.0394   0.0916   0.0847   0.0722   1.0000
     {txt}sprival {c |}{res}   0.0690  -0.0538   0.2532   0.0943   0.0460   0.0657   0.3053   1.0000
  {txt}pursueNNWS {c |}{res}   0.0139  -0.0520   0.2719   0.1415  -0.0223   0.0247   0.1093   0.2543   1.0000
        {txt}gdp1 {c |}{res}   0.0254   0.0783   0.0405   0.0518  -0.0113  -0.0110   0.0359  -0.0690   0.0069   1.0000
        {txt}gdp2 {c |}{res}   0.1272   0.0015   0.1007   0.0489   0.0616   0.0207   0.1445   0.2088   0.0456   0.0931   1.0000
    {txt}distance {c |}{res}  -0.0765   0.0446   0.0222   0.0156  -0.2660  -0.0651  -0.1553  -0.0450  -0.0160   0.0472  -0.0436   1.0000
       {txt}expab {c |}{res}   0.1133  -0.0439  -0.0058  -0.0135   0.2419  -0.0055   0.1601   0.0378  -0.0081   0.1512   0.3309  -0.1616   1.0000
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{res}   0.0205  -0.2035   0.0893  -0.0754  -0.0044  -0.0126  -0.0208  -0.0387   0.0104   0.0188   0.0640  -0.1086   0.0873   1.0000
    {txt}noNCAyrs {c |}{res}  -0.0660   0.0849   0.1784   0.1120  -0.0908   0.0069  -0.0195  -0.0336   0.0567   0.2598   0.0654   0.0987  -0.0549   0.1711

             {txt}{c |} noNCAyrs
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 9}
    noNCAyrs {c |}{res}   1.0000

{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. **Appendix Table A11: Analysis of the Determinants of Civil Nuclear Cooperation Using a Constrained Model**
. 
. eststo M7: logit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 cwongo pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2, robust

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9849.7348}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9560.8156}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8592.3916}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8557.5691}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8557.2918}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8557.2917}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   148,069
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(9)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-8557.2917{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1312

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5257287{col 26}{space 2} .0816427{col 37}{space 1}   -6.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6857455{col 67}{space 3}-.3657119
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6907271{col 26}{space 2} .1224997{col 37}{space 1}   -5.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9308221{col 67}{space 3}-.4506321
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7648784{col 26}{space 2} .2164486{col 37}{space 1}   -3.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -1.18911{col 67}{space 3}-.3406468
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.206523{col 26}{space 2} .5474931{col 37}{space 1}   -2.20{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4} -2.27959{col 67}{space 3}-.1334559
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.017086{col 26}{space 2}  .123238{col 37}{space 1}    8.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7755439{col 67}{space 3} 1.258628
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.26e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.03e-11{col 37}{space 1}   10.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.67e-10{col 67}{space 3} 3.86e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.11e-09{col 26}{space 2} 3.79e-11{col 37}{space 1}   29.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.04e-09{col 67}{space 3} 1.19e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0002448{col 26}{space 2} .0000123{col 37}{space 1}  -19.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.000269{col 67}{space 3}-.0002207
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1879428{col 26}{space 2} .0140119{col 37}{space 1}  -13.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2154056{col 67}{space 3}-.1604799
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0072874{col 26}{space 2} .0008421{col 37}{space 1}    8.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0056369{col 67}{space 3} .0089379
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000938{col 26}{space 2} .0000135{col 37}{space 1}   -6.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001202{col 67}{space 3}-.0000674
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.681654{col 26}{space 2} .0567939{col 37}{space 1}  -47.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.792968{col 67}{space 3} -2.57034
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M8: relogit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 cwongo pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2 
{txt}(10,040 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   148069

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5229904{col 26}{space 2}  .081636{col 37}{space 1}   -6.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6829941{col 67}{space 3}-.3629868
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6868191{col 26}{space 2} .1224896{col 37}{space 1}   -5.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9268944{col 67}{space 3}-.4467438
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.751757{col 26}{space 2} .2164308{col 37}{space 1}   -3.47{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-1.175954{col 67}{space 3}-.3275604
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.08611{col 26}{space 2} .5474343{col 37}{space 1}   -1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.047{col 54}{space 4}-2.159061{col 67}{space 3}-.0131585
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.022119{col 26}{space 2} .1232279{col 37}{space 1}    8.29{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7805971{col 67}{space 3} 1.263642
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.27e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.03e-11{col 37}{space 1}   10.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.68e-10{col 67}{space 3} 3.86e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.11e-09{col 26}{space 2} 3.79e-11{col 37}{space 1}   29.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.04e-09{col 67}{space 3} 1.19e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0002446{col 26}{space 2} .0000123{col 37}{space 1}  -19.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0002688{col 67}{space 3}-.0002205
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1876733{col 26}{space 2} .0140108{col 37}{space 1}  -13.39{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2151339{col 67}{space 3}-.1602127
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .007265{col 26}{space 2}  .000842{col 37}{space 1}    8.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0056146{col 67}{space 3} .0089153
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000933{col 26}{space 2} .0000135{col 37}{space 1}   -6.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001197{col 67}{space 3}-.0000669
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.681529{col 26}{space 2} .0567893{col 37}{space 1}  -47.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.792834{col 67}{space 3}-2.570225
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M9: firthlogit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 cwongo pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9750.7207}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9750.7207}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9750.7207}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-8995.2274}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-8474.4667}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-8458.7345}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-8458.5945}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-8458.5944}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   148,069
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(9)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-8458.5944{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5229973{col 26}{space 2} .0825837{col 37}{space 1}   -6.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6848584{col 67}{space 3}-.3611363
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6868162{col 26}{space 2} .1109438{col 37}{space 1}   -6.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9042619{col 67}{space 3}-.4693704
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7518565{col 26}{space 2} .1929241{col 37}{space 1}   -3.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.129981{col 67}{space 3}-.3737322
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.092798{col 26}{space 2} .4907985{col 37}{space 1}   -2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4}-2.054746{col 67}{space 3}-.1308511
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.022091{col 26}{space 2} .1214679{col 37}{space 1}    8.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .7840186{col 67}{space 3} 1.260164
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.27e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.40e-11{col 37}{space 1}    9.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.60e-10{col 67}{space 3} 3.94e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.11e-09{col 26}{space 2} 3.85e-11{col 37}{space 1}   28.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.04e-09{col 67}{space 3} 1.19e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0002446{col 26}{space 2} .0000104{col 37}{space 1}  -23.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0002649{col 67}{space 3}-.0002243
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1876719{col 26}{space 2} .0132974{col 37}{space 1}  -14.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2137343{col 67}{space 3}-.1616094
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0072649{col 26}{space 2} .0008142{col 37}{space 1}    8.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0056692{col 67}{space 3} .0088606
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000933{col 26}{space 2} .0000131{col 37}{space 1}   -7.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001189{col 67}{space 3}-.0000676
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.681536{col 26}{space 2} .0552963{col 37}{space 1}  -48.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.789914{col 67}{space 3}-2.573157
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M7 M8 M9,  se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)   
{txt}                 NCA_lead        NCA_lead        NCA_lead   
{txt}{hline 60}
{res}main                                                        {txt}
{txt}Sanct1      {res}       -0.526***       -0.523***       -0.523***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct2      {res}       -0.691***       -0.687***       -0.687***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct3      {res}       -0.765***       -0.752***       -0.752***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.22{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.22{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}cwongo      {res}       -1.207**        -1.086**        -1.093** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.55{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}pursueNNWS  {res}        1.017***        1.022***        1.022***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp1        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp2        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}distance    {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs    {res}       -0.188***       -0.188***       -0.188***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_sq {res}        0.007***        0.007***        0.007***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_cb {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -2.682***       -2.682***       -2.682***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}N           {res}       148069          148069          148069   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.131                                   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A12: Analysis of the Determinants of Civil Nuclear Cooperation with U.S. Observations Included**
. 
. eststo M10: logit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb, robust

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12631.538}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-12305.206}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10891.429}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10253.477}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10090.571}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -10076.31}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -10075.17}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10075.168}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-10075.168}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   153,895
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-10075.168{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2024

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3009816{col 26}{space 2} .0797905{col 37}{space 1}   -3.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4573681{col 67}{space 3} -.144595
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4794665{col 26}{space 2} .1012846{col 37}{space 1}   -4.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6779806{col 67}{space 3}-.2809523
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -.53209{col 26}{space 2} .1911793{col 37}{space 1}   -2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4}-.9067945{col 67}{space 3}-.1573854
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.167274{col 26}{space 2} .0555185{col 37}{space 1}   21.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  1.05846{col 67}{space 3} 1.276089
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.756444{col 26}{space 2} .5331972{col 37}{space 1}   -3.29{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-2.801491{col 67}{space 3}-.7113964
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3356609{col 26}{space 2} .0644873{col 37}{space 1}    5.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2092681{col 67}{space 3} .4620537
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.012739{col 26}{space 2} .0571487{col 37}{space 1}   17.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9007295{col 67}{space 3} 1.124748
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4467584{col 26}{space 2} .1250546{col 37}{space 1}    3.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2016559{col 67}{space 3} .6918608
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.41e-10{col 26}{space 2} 1.10e-11{col 37}{space 1}   21.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.20e-10{col 67}{space 3} 2.63e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.40e-10{col 26}{space 2} 2.34e-11{col 37}{space 1}   18.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.95e-10{col 67}{space 3} 4.86e-10
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001348{col 26}{space 2} .0000109{col 37}{space 1}  -12.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.000156{col 67}{space 3}-.0001135
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000122{col 26}{space 2} 2.48e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -4.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000171{col 67}{space 3}-7.34e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.622705{col 26}{space 2} .7025638{col 37}{space 1}    6.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.245705{col 67}{space 3} 5.999705
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1828966{col 26}{space 2} .0121687{col 37}{space 1}  -15.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2067469{col 67}{space 3}-.1590464
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .006336{col 26}{space 2} .0007483{col 37}{space 1}    8.47{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0048693{col 67}{space 3} .0078027
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000076{col 26}{space 2}  .000012{col 37}{space 1}   -6.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000995{col 67}{space 3}-.0000524
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.293454{col 26}{space 2} .0641939{col 37}{space 1}  -51.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.419272{col 67}{space 3}-3.167636
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M11: relogit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb 
{txt}(12,312 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   153895

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2986391{col 26}{space 2} .0797817{col 37}{space 1}   -3.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4550083{col 67}{space 3}-.1422699
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -.47651{col 26}{space 2} .1012734{col 37}{space 1}   -4.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6750022{col 67}{space 3}-.2780178
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5189847{col 26}{space 2} .1911581{col 37}{space 1}   -2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}-.8936478{col 67}{space 3}-.1443217
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.166796{col 26}{space 2} .0555124{col 37}{space 1}   21.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.057994{col 67}{space 3} 1.275598
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.634327{col 26}{space 2}  .533137{col 37}{space 1}   -3.07{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-2.679256{col 67}{space 3}-.5893976
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3357508{col 26}{space 2} .0644802{col 37}{space 1}    5.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .209372{col 67}{space 3} .4621297
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.013113{col 26}{space 2} .0571424{col 37}{space 1}   17.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9011161{col 67}{space 3}  1.12511
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4502813{col 26}{space 2} .1250407{col 37}{space 1}    3.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2052059{col 67}{space 3} .6953566
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.41e-10{col 26}{space 2} 1.10e-11{col 37}{space 1}   21.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.20e-10{col 67}{space 3} 2.63e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.40e-10{col 26}{space 2} 2.34e-11{col 37}{space 1}   18.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.94e-10{col 67}{space 3} 4.86e-10
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001347{col 26}{space 2} .0000109{col 37}{space 1}  -12.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.000156{col 67}{space 3}-.0001134
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000121{col 26}{space 2} 2.48e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -4.88{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000169{col 67}{space 3}-7.23e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.630762{col 26}{space 2} .7024861{col 37}{space 1}    6.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.253914{col 67}{space 3} 6.007609
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.182516{col 26}{space 2} .0121674{col 37}{space 1}  -15.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2063636{col 67}{space 3}-.1586684
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0063087{col 26}{space 2} .0007482{col 37}{space 1}    8.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0048422{col 67}{space 3} .0077753
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000754{col 26}{space 2}  .000012{col 37}{space 1}   -6.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.000099{col 67}{space 3}-.0000519
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.293069{col 26}{space 2} .0641869{col 37}{space 1}  -51.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.418873{col 67}{space 3}-3.167265
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M12: firthlogit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb 
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-12510.231}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-12510.231}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-12510.231}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-11170.376}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-10513.694}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-10040.463}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9953.3492}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9952.0244}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-9952.0237}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   153,895
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res}-9952.0237{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2986462{col 26}{space 2} .0797817{col 37}{space 1}   -3.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4550155{col 67}{space 3}-.1422769
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4765321{col 26}{space 2} .0975454{col 37}{space 1}   -4.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6677176{col 67}{space 3}-.2853467
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5191038{col 26}{space 2} .1853366{col 37}{space 1}   -2.80{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4}-.8823569{col 67}{space 3}-.1558506
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.166799{col 26}{space 2} .0515969{col 37}{space 1}   22.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.065671{col 67}{space 3} 1.267927
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.64146{col 26}{space 2} .4844599{col 37}{space 1}   -3.39{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-2.590984{col 67}{space 3}-.6919366
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3357534{col 26}{space 2} .0624997{col 37}{space 1}    5.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2132562{col 67}{space 3} .4582505
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.013111{col 26}{space 2} .0532649{col 37}{space 1}   19.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9087139{col 67}{space 3} 1.117508
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4502601{col 26}{space 2} .1171628{col 37}{space 1}    3.84{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2206252{col 67}{space 3} .6798949
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.41e-10{col 26}{space 2} 1.23e-11{col 37}{space 1}   19.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.17e-10{col 67}{space 3} 2.66e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.40e-10{col 26}{space 2} 2.09e-11{col 37}{space 1}   21.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 3.99e-10{col 67}{space 3} 4.81e-10
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001347{col 26}{space 2} 9.68e-06{col 37}{space 1}  -13.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001537{col 67}{space 3}-.0001157
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000121{col 26}{space 2} 2.71e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -4.46{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000174{col 67}{space 3}-6.78e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.630758{col 26}{space 2} .7278897{col 37}{space 1}    6.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  3.20412{col 67}{space 3} 6.057396
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1825165{col 26}{space 2} .0118767{col 37}{space 1}  -15.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2057945{col 67}{space 3}-.1592385
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0063088{col 26}{space 2} .0007455{col 37}{space 1}    8.46{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0048477{col 67}{space 3} .0077699
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000754{col 26}{space 2} .0000121{col 37}{space 1}   -6.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000992{col 67}{space 3}-.0000516
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.293068{col 26}{space 2} .0635152{col 37}{space 1}  -51.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.417556{col 67}{space 3}-3.168581
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M10 M11 M12,  se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)   
{txt}                 NCA_lead        NCA_lead        NCA_lead   
{txt}{hline 60}
{res}main                                                        {txt}
{txt}Sanct1      {res}       -0.301***       -0.299***       -0.299***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct2      {res}       -0.479***       -0.477***       -0.477***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct3      {res}       -0.532***       -0.519***       -0.519***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.19{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}dpact       {res}        1.167***        1.167***        1.167***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}cwongo      {res}       -1.756***       -1.634***       -1.641***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.53{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.48{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}eeriv       {res}        0.336***        0.336***        0.336***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}sprival     {res}        1.013***        1.013***        1.013***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.05{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}pursueNNWS  {res}        0.447***        0.450***        0.450***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp1        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp2        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}distance    {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}expab       {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}exp_pressure{res}        4.623***        4.631***        4.631***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.70{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.70{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.73{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs    {res}       -0.183***       -0.183***       -0.183***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.01{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_sq {res}        0.006***        0.006***        0.006***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_cb {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -3.293***       -3.293***       -3.293***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.06{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}N           {res}       153895          153895          153895   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.202                                   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Appendix Table A13: Cross Tab of NCAs by Dyads Never Sanctioned by the U.S. Compared to Directed Dyads that Experienced U.S. Sanctions**
. 
. tab  NCA_lead EverSanct, col
{txt}
{c TLC}{hline 19}{c TRC}
{c |} Key{col 21}{c |}
{c LT}{hline 19}{c RT}
{c |}{space 5}{it:frequency}{col 21}{c |}
{c |}{space 1}{it:column percentage}{col 21}{c |}
{c BLC}{hline 19}{c BRC}

           {c |}  Either Supplier or
           {c |}     Recipient was
           {c |}   Sanctioned by US
leading DV {c |}       1950-2000
- all NCAs {c |}         0          1 {c |}     Total
{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
         0 {c |}{res}    52,943    106,017 {txt}{c |}{res}   158,960 
           {txt}{c |}{res}     97.67      98.82 {txt}{c |}{res}     98.43 
{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
         1 {c |}{res}     1,261      1,271 {txt}{c |}{res}     2,532 
           {txt}{c |}{res}      2.33       1.18 {txt}{c |}{res}      1.57 
{txt}{hline 11}{c +}{hline 22}{c +}{hline 10}
     Total {c |}{res}    54,204    107,288 {txt}{c |}{res}   161,492 
           {txt}{c |}{res}    100.00     100.00 {txt}{c |}{res}    100.00 

{txt}
{com}. 
. **Appendix Table A14: Analysis of the Determinants of Civil Nuclear Cooperation in Directed Dyads with a Party Sanctioned by the U.S. from 1950-2000**
. 
. eststo M13: logit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2 & EverSanct==1, robust

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5829.8698}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5821.9824}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5010.1207}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4955.595}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4939.8218}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4939.7775}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4939.7775}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   100,114
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4939.7775{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1527

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3774162{col 26}{space 2} .0897125{col 37}{space 1}   -4.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5532494{col 67}{space 3}-.2015829
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7030304{col 26}{space 2}  .133333{col 37}{space 1}   -5.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9643583{col 67}{space 3}-.4417026
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8497698{col 26}{space 2} .2254354{col 37}{space 1}   -3.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.291615{col 67}{space 3}-.4079245
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.093383{col 26}{space 2} .0900814{col 37}{space 1}   12.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9168265{col 67}{space 3} 1.269939
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9636806{col 26}{space 2} .5381751{col 37}{space 1}   -1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.073{col 54}{space 4}-2.018484{col 67}{space 3} .0911232
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0757585{col 26}{space 2} .1112172{col 37}{space 1}    0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.496{col 54}{space 4}-.1422233{col 67}{space 3} .2937402
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7854215{col 26}{space 2} .0921248{col 37}{space 1}    8.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6048603{col 67}{space 3} .9659827
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7581946{col 26}{space 2} .1417864{col 37}{space 1}    5.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4802984{col 67}{space 3} 1.036091
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.96e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.31e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.32e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.61e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.28e-10{col 26}{space 2} 5.05e-11{col 37}{space 1}   18.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 8.29e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.03e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001463{col 26}{space 2} .0000165{col 37}{space 1}   -8.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001785{col 67}{space 3} -.000114
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000429{col 26}{space 2} .0000128{col 37}{space 1}   -3.36{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.0000679{col 67}{space 3}-.0000178
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.930318{col 26}{space 2} 1.144896{col 37}{space 1}    4.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.686364{col 67}{space 3} 7.174273
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1644651{col 26}{space 2} .0175787{col 37}{space 1}   -9.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1989188{col 67}{space 3}-.1300115
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .005535{col 26}{space 2} .0010234{col 37}{space 1}    5.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0035292{col 67}{space 3} .0075407
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000675{col 26}{space 2} .0000158{col 37}{space 1}   -4.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000985{col 67}{space 3}-.0000365
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.463191{col 26}{space 2} .0926501{col 37}{space 1}  -37.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.644782{col 67}{space 3}  -3.2816
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M14: relogit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2 & EverSanct==1
{txt}(12,312 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   100114

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3746659{col 26}{space 2} .0896972{col 37}{space 1}   -4.18{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5504693{col 67}{space 3}-.1988625
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6995273{col 26}{space 2} .1333104{col 37}{space 1}   -5.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9608108{col 67}{space 3}-.4382438
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8369646{col 26}{space 2} .2253971{col 37}{space 1}   -3.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.278735{col 67}{space 3}-.3951943
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.094197{col 26}{space 2} .0900661{col 37}{space 1}   12.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9176709{col 67}{space 3} 1.270724
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8424442{col 26}{space 2} .5380836{col 37}{space 1}   -1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.117{col 54}{space 4}-1.897069{col 67}{space 3} .2121804
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0777971{col 26}{space 2} .1111983{col 37}{space 1}    0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.484{col 54}{space 4}-.1401476{col 67}{space 3} .2957419
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7859941{col 26}{space 2} .0921091{col 37}{space 1}    8.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6054635{col 67}{space 3} .9665246
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7628864{col 26}{space 2} .1417623{col 37}{space 1}    5.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4850374{col 67}{space 3} 1.040735
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.97e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.31e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.32e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.62e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.27e-10{col 26}{space 2} 5.05e-11{col 37}{space 1}   18.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 8.28e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.03e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000146{col 26}{space 2} .0000165{col 37}{space 1}   -8.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001782{col 67}{space 3}-.0001137
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000425{col 26}{space 2} .0000128{col 37}{space 1}   -3.33{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.0000675{col 67}{space 3}-.0000175
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.954394{col 26}{space 2} 1.144701{col 37}{space 1}    4.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  2.71082{col 67}{space 3} 7.197967
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1639846{col 26}{space 2} .0175758{col 37}{space 1}   -9.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1984324{col 67}{space 3}-.1295368
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0055013{col 26}{space 2} .0010232{col 37}{space 1}    5.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0034959{col 67}{space 3} .0075067
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000668{col 26}{space 2} .0000158{col 37}{space 1}   -4.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000978{col 67}{space 3}-.0000358
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.462412{col 26}{space 2} .0926343{col 37}{space 1}  -37.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.643972{col 67}{space 3}-3.280853
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M15: firthlogit  NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2 & EverSanct==1
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-5717.2129}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-5717.2129}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-5717.2129}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-5135.6982}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-4897.9025}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-4826.7583}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-4824.3056}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res: -4824.301}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res: -4824.301}  
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   100,114
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res} -4824.301{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3746728{col 26}{space 2} .0927555{col 37}{space 1}   -4.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5564702{col 67}{space 3}-.1928754
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.699523{col 26}{space 2} .1224496{col 37}{space 1}   -5.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9395198{col 67}{space 3}-.4595262
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8371025{col 26}{space 2} .2030574{col 37}{space 1}   -4.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.235088{col 67}{space 3}-.4391174
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   1.0942{col 26}{space 2} .0896572{col 37}{space 1}   12.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9184754{col 67}{space 3} 1.269925
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8495095{col 26}{space 2} .4876926{col 37}{space 1}   -1.74{col 46}{space 3}0.082{col 54}{space 4}-1.805369{col 67}{space 3} .1063505
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0777993{col 26}{space 2} .1017617{col 37}{space 1}    0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.445{col 54}{space 4}  -.12165{col 67}{space 3} .2772485
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7859881{col 26}{space 2} .0822708{col 37}{space 1}    9.55{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6247403{col 67}{space 3} .9472359
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7628471{col 26}{space 2} .1329811{col 37}{space 1}    5.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5022089{col 67}{space 3} 1.023485
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.97e-10{col 26}{space 2} 4.38e-11{col 37}{space 1}   11.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.11e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.83e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.27e-10{col 26}{space 2} 5.44e-11{col 37}{space 1}   17.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 8.20e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.03e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000146{col 26}{space 2} .0000141{col 37}{space 1}  -10.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001737{col 67}{space 3}-.0001183
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000425{col 26}{space 2} .0000119{col 37}{space 1}   -3.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000659{col 67}{space 3}-.0000192
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.954389{col 26}{space 2} 1.211283{col 37}{space 1}    4.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.580318{col 67}{space 3} 7.328459
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1639854{col 26}{space 2} .0171183{col 37}{space 1}   -9.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1975366{col 67}{space 3}-.1304342
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0055015{col 26}{space 2} .0010197{col 37}{space 1}    5.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0035028{col 67}{space 3} .0075001
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000668{col 26}{space 2} .0000159{col 37}{space 1}   -4.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000979{col 67}{space 3}-.0000357
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.462424{col 26}{space 2}  .093793{col 37}{space 1}  -36.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.646255{col 67}{space 3}-3.278593
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M13 M14 M15,  se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)   
{txt}                 NCA_lead        NCA_lead        NCA_lead   
{txt}{hline 60}
{res}main                                                        {txt}
{txt}Sanct1      {res}       -0.377***       -0.375***       -0.375***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct2      {res}       -0.703***       -0.700***       -0.700***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct3      {res}       -0.850***       -0.837***       -0.837***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.20{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}dpact       {res}        1.093***        1.094***        1.094***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}cwongo      {res}       -0.964*         -0.842          -0.850*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}eeriv       {res}        0.076           0.078           0.078   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}sprival     {res}        0.785***        0.786***        0.786***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}pursueNNWS  {res}        0.758***        0.763***        0.763***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp1        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp2        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}distance    {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}expab       {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}exp_pressure{res}        4.930***        4.954***        4.954***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.21{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs    {res}       -0.164***       -0.164***       -0.164***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_sq {res}        0.006***        0.006***        0.006***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_cb {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -3.463***       -3.462***       -3.462***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}N           {res}       100114          100114          100114   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.153                                   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. eststo M16: logit  NCA_lead  Sanct0 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2 & EverSanct==1, robust

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5829.8698}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5821.9824}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-5010.1207}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -4955.595}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4939.8218}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4939.7775}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-4939.7775}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   100,114
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-4939.7775{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1527

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct0 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3774162{col 26}{space 2} .0897125{col 37}{space 1}    4.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2015829{col 67}{space 3} .5532494
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3256143{col 26}{space 2} .1489852{col 37}{space 1}   -2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}  -.61762{col 67}{space 3}-.0336086
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4723536{col 26}{space 2} .2304642{col 37}{space 1}   -2.05{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4}-.9240552{col 67}{space 3} -.020652
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.093383{col 26}{space 2} .0900814{col 37}{space 1}   12.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9168265{col 67}{space 3} 1.269939
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9636806{col 26}{space 2} .5381751{col 37}{space 1}   -1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.073{col 54}{space 4}-2.018484{col 67}{space 3} .0911232
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0757585{col 26}{space 2} .1112172{col 37}{space 1}    0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.496{col 54}{space 4}-.1422233{col 67}{space 3} .2937402
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7854215{col 26}{space 2} .0921248{col 37}{space 1}    8.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6048603{col 67}{space 3} .9659827
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7581946{col 26}{space 2} .1417864{col 37}{space 1}    5.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4802984{col 67}{space 3} 1.036091
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.96e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.31e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.32e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.61e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.28e-10{col 26}{space 2} 5.05e-11{col 37}{space 1}   18.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 8.29e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.03e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001463{col 26}{space 2} .0000165{col 37}{space 1}   -8.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001785{col 67}{space 3} -.000114
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000429{col 26}{space 2} .0000128{col 37}{space 1}   -3.36{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.0000679{col 67}{space 3}-.0000178
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.930318{col 26}{space 2} 1.144896{col 37}{space 1}    4.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.686364{col 67}{space 3} 7.174273
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1644651{col 26}{space 2} .0175787{col 37}{space 1}   -9.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1989188{col 67}{space 3}-.1300115
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .005535{col 26}{space 2} .0010234{col 37}{space 1}    5.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0035292{col 67}{space 3} .0075407
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000675{col 26}{space 2} .0000158{col 37}{space 1}   -4.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000985{col 67}{space 3}-.0000365
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.840607{col 26}{space 2}  .116105{col 37}{space 1}  -33.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.068169{col 67}{space 3}-3.613046
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M17: relogit  NCA_lead  Sanct0 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2 & EverSanct==1
{txt}(12,312 missing values generated)


Corrected logit estimates                             Number of obs ={res}   100114

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct0 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3746659{col 26}{space 2} .0896972{col 37}{space 1}    4.18{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1988625{col 67}{space 3} .5504693
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3248614{col 26}{space 2} .1489599{col 37}{space 1}   -2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4}-.6168174{col 67}{space 3}-.0329053
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4622987{col 26}{space 2} .2304251{col 37}{space 1}   -2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4}-.9139235{col 67}{space 3}-.0106738
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.094197{col 26}{space 2} .0900661{col 37}{space 1}   12.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9176709{col 67}{space 3} 1.270724
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8424442{col 26}{space 2} .5380836{col 37}{space 1}   -1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.117{col 54}{space 4}-1.897069{col 67}{space 3} .2121804
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0777971{col 26}{space 2} .1111983{col 37}{space 1}    0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.484{col 54}{space 4}-.1401476{col 67}{space 3} .2957419
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7859941{col 26}{space 2} .0921091{col 37}{space 1}    8.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6054635{col 67}{space 3} .9665246
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7628864{col 26}{space 2} .1417623{col 37}{space 1}    5.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4850374{col 67}{space 3} 1.040735
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.97e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.31e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.32e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.62e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.27e-10{col 26}{space 2} 5.05e-11{col 37}{space 1}   18.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 8.28e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.03e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000146{col 26}{space 2} .0000165{col 37}{space 1}   -8.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001782{col 67}{space 3}-.0001137
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000425{col 26}{space 2} .0000128{col 37}{space 1}   -3.33{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.0000675{col 67}{space 3}-.0000175
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.954394{col 26}{space 2} 1.144701{col 37}{space 1}    4.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  2.71082{col 67}{space 3} 7.197967
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1639846{col 26}{space 2} .0175758{col 37}{space 1}   -9.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1984324{col 67}{space 3}-.1295368
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0055013{col 26}{space 2} .0010232{col 37}{space 1}    5.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0034959{col 67}{space 3} .0075067
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000668{col 26}{space 2} .0000158{col 37}{space 1}   -4.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000978{col 67}{space 3}-.0000358
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.837078{col 26}{space 2} .1160853{col 37}{space 1}  -33.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.064601{col 67}{space 3}-3.609555
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. eststo M18: firthlogit  NCA_lead  Sanct0 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2 & EverSanct==1
{res}
{txt}initial:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-5717.2129}
rescale:{col 16}penalized log likelihood = {res:-5717.2129}
{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-5717.2129}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-5138.0277}  (not concave)
Iteration 2:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-4896.3221}  (not concave)
Iteration 3:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-4842.3503}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-4824.5528}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res:-4824.3016}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res: -4824.301}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}penalized log likelihood = {res: -4824.301}  (backed up)
{res}
{txt}{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   100,114
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Penalized log likelihood = {res} -4824.301{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct0 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3746727{col 26}{space 2} .0927556{col 37}{space 1}    4.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .192875{col 67}{space 3} .5564703
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3248501{col 26}{space 2} .1414266{col 37}{space 1}   -2.30{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4}-.6020412{col 67}{space 3} -.047659
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4624287{col 26}{space 2} .2099364{col 37}{space 1}   -2.20{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4}-.8738964{col 67}{space 3}-.0509609
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   1.0942{col 26}{space 2} .0896573{col 37}{space 1}   12.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9184749{col 67}{space 3} 1.269925
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.849496{col 26}{space 2} .4876909{col 37}{space 1}   -1.74{col 46}{space 3}0.082{col 54}{space 4}-1.805353{col 67}{space 3} .1063607
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0777986{col 26}{space 2} .1017617{col 37}{space 1}    0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.445{col 54}{space 4}-.1216507{col 67}{space 3} .2772478
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7859883{col 26}{space 2} .0822708{col 37}{space 1}    9.55{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6247405{col 67}{space 3} .9472361
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7628466{col 26}{space 2} .1329811{col 37}{space 1}    5.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5022084{col 67}{space 3} 1.023485
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.97e-10{col 26}{space 2} 4.38e-11{col 37}{space 1}   11.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.11e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.83e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.27e-10{col 26}{space 2} 5.44e-11{col 37}{space 1}   17.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 8.20e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.03e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.000146{col 26}{space 2} .0000141{col 37}{space 1}  -10.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001737{col 67}{space 3}-.0001183
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000425{col 26}{space 2} .0000119{col 37}{space 1}   -3.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000659{col 67}{space 3}-.0000192
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.954391{col 26}{space 2} 1.211286{col 37}{space 1}    4.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.580314{col 67}{space 3} 7.328468
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1639853{col 26}{space 2} .0171253{col 37}{space 1}   -9.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1975502{col 67}{space 3}-.1304204
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0055015{col 26}{space 2} .0010202{col 37}{space 1}    5.39{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0035019{col 67}{space 3}  .007501
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000668{col 26}{space 2} .0000159{col 37}{space 1}   -4.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0000979{col 67}{space 3}-.0000356
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.837097{col 26}{space 2} .1185077{col 37}{space 1}  -32.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-4.069367{col 67}{space 3}-3.604826
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. esttab M16 M17 M18,  se(2) pr2 b(3) star(* 0.10 ** 0.05 *** 0.01)
{res}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}                      (1)             (2)             (3)   
{txt}                 NCA_lead        NCA_lead        NCA_lead   
{txt}{hline 60}
{res}main                                                        {txt}
{txt}Sanct0      {res}        0.377***        0.375***        0.375***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct2      {res}       -0.326**        -0.325**        -0.325** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.15{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}Sanct3      {res}       -0.472**        -0.462**        -0.462** {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.23{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.21{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}dpact       {res}        1.093***        1.094***        1.094***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}cwongo      {res}       -0.964*         -0.842          -0.849*  {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.54{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.49{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}eeriv       {res}        0.076           0.078           0.078   {txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.11{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.10{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}sprival     {res}        0.785***        0.786***        0.786***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.09{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.08{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}pursueNNWS  {res}        0.758***        0.763***        0.763***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.13{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp1        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}gdp2        {res}        0.000***        0.000***        0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}distance    {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}expab       {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}exp_pressure{res}        4.930***        4.954***        4.954***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.14{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}1.21{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs    {res}       -0.164***       -0.164***       -0.164***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.02{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_sq {res}        0.006***        0.006***        0.006***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}noNCAyrs_cb {res}       -0.000***       -0.000***       -0.000***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.00{txt:)}}   {txt}

{txt}_cons       {res}       -3.841***       -3.837***       -3.837***{txt}
            {res} {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}    {ralign 12:{txt:(}0.12{txt:)}}   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}N           {res}       100114          100114          100114   {txt}
{txt}pseudo R-sq {res}        0.153                                   {txt}
{txt}{hline 60}
{txt}Standard errors in parentheses
{txt}* p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01

{com}. 
. 
. **Calculating the Observed Effects of U.S. Sanctions on Nuclear Cooperation Suppliers and Recipients for Table 4**
. 
. /* Note: Make sure to clear the results after running these observed value predictions** */
. 
. logit           NCA_lead  Sanct1 Sanct2 Sanct3 dpact cwongo eeriv sprival pursueNNWS gdp1 gdp2 distance expab exp_pressure noNCAyrs noNCAyrs_sq noNCAyrs_cb if ccode1!=2 & ccode2!=2, robust 

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9646.5596}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-9492.3841}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8185.3202}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -8114.247}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1518}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1135}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-8101.1135}  
{res}
{txt}Logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   145,827
{txt}{col 49}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(14)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-8101.1135{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1602

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}    NCA_lead{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}Sanct1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4001521{col 26}{space 2} .0857975{col 37}{space 1}   -4.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5683121{col 67}{space 3}-.2319922
{txt}{space 6}Sanct2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8870439{col 26}{space 2} .1324733{col 37}{space 1}   -6.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.146687{col 67}{space 3} -.627401
{txt}{space 6}Sanct3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9588293{col 26}{space 2} .2253894{col 37}{space 1}   -4.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.400584{col 67}{space 3}-.5170742
{txt}{space 7}dpact {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.122533{col 26}{space 2} .0676637{col 37}{space 1}   16.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9899149{col 67}{space 3} 1.255152
{txt}{space 6}cwongo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.002806{col 26}{space 2} .5392415{col 37}{space 1}   -1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}  -2.0597{col 67}{space 3} .0540881
{txt}{space 7}eeriv {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.185886{col 26}{space 2}  .094272{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4}-.3706558{col 67}{space 3}-.0011162
{txt}{space 5}sprival {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .924594{col 26}{space 2} .0700365{col 37}{space 1}   13.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .787325{col 67}{space 3} 1.061863
{txt}{space 2}pursueNNWS {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8014118{col 26}{space 2} .1329855{col 37}{space 1}    6.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5407649{col 67}{space 3} 1.062059
{txt}{space 8}gdp1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.78e-10{col 26}{space 2} 3.04e-11{col 37}{space 1}   15.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.19e-10{col 67}{space 3} 5.38e-10
{txt}{space 8}gdp2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.01e-09{col 26}{space 2} 4.46e-11{col 37}{space 1}   22.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.22e-10{col 67}{space 3} 1.10e-09
{txt}{space 4}distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0001756{col 26}{space 2} .0000134{col 37}{space 1}  -13.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0002018{col 67}{space 3}-.0001494
{txt}{space 7}expab {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000127{col 26}{space 2} 8.84e-06{col 37}{space 1}   -1.43{col 46}{space 3}0.151{col 54}{space 4}  -.00003{col 67}{space 3} 4.64e-06
{txt}exp_pressure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.127272{col 26}{space 2} .7382721{col 37}{space 1}    5.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.680285{col 67}{space 3} 5.574259
{txt}{space 4}noNCAyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1641662{col 26}{space 2}  .013966{col 37}{space 1}  -11.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.191539{col 67}{space 3}-.1367933
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_sq {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0061963{col 26}{space 2} .0008349{col 37}{space 1}    7.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0045599{col 67}{space 3} .0078327
{txt}{space 1}noNCAyrs_cb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0000806{col 26}{space 2} .0000132{col 37}{space 1}   -6.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0001066{col 67}{space 3}-.0000546
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.452123{col 26}{space 2} .0717996{col 37}{space 1}  -48.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.592848{col 67}{space 3}-3.311399
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. replace Sanct1=0
{txt}(27,205 real changes made)

{com}. replace Sanct2=0
{txt}(13,506 real changes made)

{com}. replace Sanct3=0
{txt}(3,315 real changes made)

{com}. 
. predict predNoSanct if e(sample)
{txt}(option {bf:pr} assumed; Pr(NCA_lead))
(20380 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. replace Sanct1=0
{txt}(0 real changes made)

{com}. replace Sanct2=0
{txt}(0 real changes made)

{com}. replace Sanct3=1
{txt}(166,207 real changes made)

{com}. 
. predict predBothSanct if e(sample)
{txt}(option {bf:pr} assumed; Pr(NCA_lead))
(20380 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. gen effectsBoth= predNoSanct-predBothSanct
{txt}(20,380 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. summ effectsBoth predNoSanct-predBothSanct

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 1}effectsBoth {c |}{res}    145,827    .0082816     .016019   .0001514   .2352006
{txt}{space 1}predNoSanct {c |}{res}    145,827    .0140464    .0321296   .0002455   .9554182
{txt}predBothSa~t {c |}{res}    145,827    .0057648    .0171928   .0000941   .8914843
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. replace Sanct1=1
{txt}(166,207 real changes made)

{com}. replace Sanct2=0
{txt}(0 real changes made)

{com}. replace Sanct3=0
{txt}(166,207 real changes made)

{com}. 
. predict predImpSanct if e(sample)
{txt}(option {bf:pr} assumed; Pr(NCA_lead))
(20380 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. gen effectsBothvImp= predImpSanct-predBothSanct
{txt}(20,380 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. clear
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\be947625\Dropbox\Birds of a Feather\FPA\R&R Version\Replication Materials\Birds of a Feather - Nuclear Cooperation Agreements Analysis - Log File.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}11 Jan 2021, 10:55:00
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}